Everything Went Right For The 2018 Red Sox Are The Champs Destined

Posted On Sep 29 2019 by

It’s hard to imagine things going more right for the Boston Red Sox than they did last season. Boston jumped out to a scorching 17-2 start, was 38 games over .500 by the All-Star break, posted the most regular-season wins (108) by an MLB team in 17 years, and then steamrolled through the playoffs with an 11-3 postseason record en route to a World Series title. Statistically, it was probably the most impressive performance any major team had in 2018.1Among teams for which we had have game-by-game Elo ratings and predictions — in men’s pro and college football and basketball and Major League Baseball.But now the calendar has flipped to 2019, and as spring training warms up for the Sox in Fort Myers, Florida, Boston must focus on defending its crown — and staving off the inevitable regression that comes in the wake of a season as charmed as the one the Red Sox just enjoyed.As a rule, clubs that win a crazy number of ballgames in one season tend to come back down to earth quickly in the next. Of the 32 teams that cracked the century mark in wins (per 162 games)2We’re including teams in strike-shortened seasons — like the 1994 Montreal Expos — whose wins would prorate out to at least 100. since 1990, 28 had an inferior record the next year,3One team — the 101-win 2003 Yankees — compiled the same number of wins the next season. and 24 failed to return to the 100-win club. (Thirteen failed to break even 95 wins.) On average, these 32 triple-digit winners declined by 9.6 wins the following season. And the Red Sox could be running out of time to make the most of their current core. By 2021, Betts, Bradley, Chris Sale, Xander Bogaerts and Rick Porcello (plus potentially Martinez, who has an opt-out clause) will have all hit free agency. And team president Dave Dombrowski built 2018’s champion in part by bucking MLB’s prospect-hoarding trend and emptying out the farm system’s next generation in favor of short-term wins, so reinforcements aren’t exactly on the way.The result of Dombrowski’s moves was a championship, and one of baseball’s all-time great single season performances, so I’m pretty sure it was worth it. The question now is how steep the drop-off will be in 2019 — and beyond. In many ways, Boston caught lightning in a bottle last season, enjoying the kind of magical year that comes along only once every decade or so. But if history is any guide, the follow-up will have trouble coming close to matching the original. Red Sox15649567+136744110 Rays15278676+5042153 TeamElo RatingWinsLossesRun Diff.Make PlayoffsWin DivisionWin World Series Yankees15669567+13774%41%10% Blue Jays14837587-521331 Avg. Simulated SeasonChance to… Teams that won substantially more than 100 games have tended to regress even harder. The 2002 Mariners, for example, won “only” 93 games after the 2001 squad tied a major league record with 116 wins; the 1999 Yankees won 98 a year after the team took home 114. The inescapable truth is that few major league teams actually have 100 wins of “true talent” on their rosters, much less 108. Most of these huge winners were aided by some not-insignificant amount of luck along the way.And it’s hard to argue that the Red Sox weren’t one of the luckier teams in baseball last season. According to the Pythagorean expectation, a team with Boston’s runs scored and allowed should have won four games fewer than it actually did. Furthermore, a team with Boston’s particular statistical profile (its singles, doubles, walks, etc. — both for and against) should have had a Pythagorean record five games worse than it actually did. Add up those two categories, and the Red Sox benefited from an MLB-high 10 extra wins of luck, whether through prevailing in the relative toss-ups of close games or through stringing hits together (or stranding opposing runners) in an unusually favorable manner.On top of all that, there’s another way a team can have everything go right for it, and that’s at the player level: Did everyone outperform their expected levels of performance at once? Injuries can often play a role here — though the Red Sox were in the middle of the pack in terms of man-games lost to the injured list. More pertinently, Boston also saw a number of players post career-best seasons last year, from American League MVP Mookie Betts (10.6 wins above replacement)4Averaging together the versions of WAR from Baseball-Reference.com and FanGraphs. to blockbuster free-agent signing J.D. Martinez (6.1), plus young up-and-comers such as Andrew Benintendi (4.1) and even longtime puzzles such as Eduardo Rodriguez (2.7).Altogether, 12 of Boston’s 21 regulars (those who played at least 2 percent of the team’s available playing time)5As measured by plate appearances and (leverage-adjusted) innings pitched, scaled to maintain WAR’s implicit 58/42 split between position players and pitchers. exceeded their established level of WAR, with only Jackie Bradley Jr., Eduardo Nunez and the catching tandem of Sandy Leon and Christian Vazquez significantly undershooting their previous production levels during the 2018 regular season.6You could also argue that more should have been expected of Rafael Devers, who had 1.1 WAR in a partial season at age 20 in 2017 but produced only 0.5 WAR with more than double the playing time in 2018. But Devers was also only 21, playing his first season as an MLB regular.And this is to say nothing of the unexpected performances the team received in the postseason from the likes of Steve Pearce — a fizzled-out former prospect who arrived in Boston via a midseason trade and ultimately won World Series MVP — or Nathan Eovaldi, another castoff who had a 1.61 ERA in 22 1/3 postseason innings. (Or, in general, the amazingly fortuitous splits the team had in crucial playoff situations.)All of those different ingredients explain how a team that won 93 games in 2017 suddenly exploded for 108 and won the championship a year later. But again, the pull of baseball’s gravity is strong. Based on data since 1990, we’d expect a team that improved by 15 games between seasons to give back about 5.2 wins the next season. It’s just another data point to toss onto the heap of statistical indicators that foretell a decline for the Red Sox heading into 2019.The good news for Boston is that if your starting point is a 108-win team, you have a ton of room to regress and still be one of the best teams in baseball. Even if the Sox didn’t truly have 108 wins of talent on the roster last year, they still played like a 98-win team according to their underlying statistics, and almost all of that team will be back this season (with the notable exception of closer Craig Kimbrel). According to an early preseason version of our 2019 MLB projections,7Not including Tuesday’s news of Manny Machado signing with the San Diego Padres, although that move has minimal implications for the Red Sox. we rate Boston as the third-best team in baseball, with a 95-67 projected record and a 10 percent chance of repeating as champs, which is also tied for third-best in MLB.Trouble is, that might make the Red Sox only the second-best team in their own division. Our simulations consider the archrival New York Yankees just as likely as Boston to win the World Series and actually think that New York is ever-so-slightly better talent-wise. Although the Sox got the better of the Yankees last season, winning 13 of 23 games (including an August sweep and a four-game division series victory), for all intents and purposes, our projections have the two teams in an absolute dead heat as we look ahead to 2019: The Red Sox still have a Yankees problem on their handsHow our preliminary Elo ratings are forecasting the 2019 AL East race Based on 100,000 simulations of the 2019 MLB seasonSources: Baseball prospectus, Fangraphs, Clay Davenport, Caesar’s Palace Orioles142160102-1981<1<1 read more


Natl Heritage Day events a mystery Govt gives no public notices or

Posted On Sep 17 2019 by

first_imgFacebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsAppProvidenciales, TCI, October 7, 2016 – Monday is National Heritage Day, a public holiday in the Turks and Caicos Islands yet there is no detailed public information coming from Government about the events surrounding the holiday which usually features a National Honors Ceremony and raise your flag motorcades.There are no venues, nor times, nor locations to share with you at this point.  National Heritage Day replaces Columbus Day for the second year now, and is a PNP Government initiative to elevate national pride… however, when it comes to the main festivity, there was no list of honorees issued this year but we have been informed that at least two former chief ministers will be awarded for their time in office, longevity in service.Both Oswald Skippings and Derek Taylor will be medalled on Monday at the ceremony set at Parade Grounds in Grand Turk.  The men, and likely others who will be celebrated had been informed by the Committee, which falls under the Office of the Premier, since September of their coming national prize.There had been a call since June for nominations by the Committee, chaired by Willett Swann in six categories namely:  The Order of National Hero; The Order of Turks and Caicos Islands; The Patriotic Award; The Long Service Medal; The Meritorious Award and the National Young Achievers Medal. Related Items:both skippings and taylor will medalled at the national heroes day festivities, no venue-time – or location for national heroes day celebration as yet Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsApplast_img read more


BMW Jaguar and Porsche invest in mobility startup Urgently

Posted On Sep 10 2019 by

first_img BMW Land Rover Jaguar Porsche More about 2020 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 2020 BMW M340i review: A dash of M makes everything better Preview • 2020 Porsche 911 Carrera S: The complete package The 2020 Porsche 911 Carrera S is at the top of its game Share your voice 0 Post a comment 2020 Kia Telluride review: Kia’s new SUV has big style and bigger value 40 Photos More From Roadshow 2020 Hyundai Palisade review: Posh enough to make Genesis jealous Tags Enlarge ImageAs someone who has diagnosed and remedied a problem in less time than it took a tow truck to arrive, Urgent.ly sounds like a fantastic innovation. Sam Edwards/Getty Images Three major automakers have invested good money into a startup that could change the way roadside assistance is handled.The venture arms of BMW, Jaguar Land Rover and Porsche have invested a combined $21 million in Urgent.ly, a US-based startup that offers its services in North America, Europe and Asia. The hope is that this system will reduce the time it takes help to arrive, as some service providers arranged through insurance companies or automakers can take hours to arrive.Urgent.ly is, in essence, a roadside assistance provider that takes an Uber-like approach to its operations, acting as a middleman connecting drivers in need to tow or mobile-service companies that are able to help. Instead of using humans to pair drivers to service providers, Urgent.ly does it all with algorithms built into its platform.”The old model of roadside assistance must make way for a modern, more digital approach,” said Kasper Sage, a partner at BMW i Ventures, in a statement. “Urgent.ly will allow OEMs around the world to provide their customers the kind of real-time and connected digital experience they now expect in everything from food delivery to ride-sharing.”For BMW at least, Urgent.ly will collaborate with the automaker’s own roadside service platform, offering its services to owners of BMW, Mini and Rolls-Royce vehicles in the US. With a majority of roadside-assistance providers already plugged into Urgent.ly’s system, this could be a huge boon for any driver looking for quick assistance on the roadside. Car Industry Auto Techlast_img read more


Amar Ekushey Book Fair begins Thursday

Posted On Sep 3 2019 by

first_imgPreparations for Amar Ekushey Book Fair are going on in full swing on Wednesday. Photo: UNBThe month-long Amar Ekushey Book Fair will begin on the Bangla Academy premises and at adjoining Suhrawardy Udyan in the capital on Thursday, reports UNB. Prime minister Sheikh Hasina will inaugurate the book fair on the Bangla Academy premises at 3pm on the day.Poet Agnes Meadows (UK), Cameroonian poet Joyce Ashuntantang, Ibrahim El Masry (Egypt) and Orne Johnson (Sweden) will be present at the inaugural ceremony as distinguished foreign guests.Cultural minister Asaduzzaman Noor will attend the opening ceremony as a special guest while the Bangla Academy director general Shamsuzzaman will deliver the welcome speech with its president emeritus professor Anisuzzaman in the chair.At a press conference at the Bangla Academy on Tuesday, its DG said the fair would be more beautiful and aesthetically rich this time than the previous years.Prime minister Sheikh Hasina will distribute the Bangla Academy Shahitya Puraskar while Bangla Academy will present two books titled ‘Alokchitre Bangla Academir Ithihash’ and Bangabandhur Sath e Marcher Bhashon: Bohumtrik Bishleshon’ to the prime minister at the opening ceremony.Twelve personalities have been chosen for the Bangla Academy award for 2017.The recipients are – Mohammad Sadik and Maruful Islam (poetry), Mamun Hossain (fiction), Prof Mahbubul Haque (essay), Prof Rafiqullah Khan (research), Aminur Rahman Bhuiyan (translation), Kamrul Hasan Bhuiyan and Surma Jahid (literature on Liberation War), Shakur Majid (biography and travelogue), Maloy Bhoumik (drama), Moshtak Ahmed (science, technology and environment) and Jhrana Dash Purokhayshto (juvenile literature).The winners will receive a cheque of Tk 100,000 each this year while the recipients will get Tk 200,000 with the next award.There will be a seminar at the main stage of the fair at 4pm every day from 2 February to 28 followed by cultural events.Like the previous years, the venue of the fair has been extended to nearby Suhrawardy Udyan with some changes.Meanwhile, the cultural affairs minister visited the fair venue on Wednesday.The authorities have allotted a total of 719 units – 136 at the Bangla Academy ground to 92 organisatons and 583 at the Suhrawardy Udyan to 363 organisations.Last year, the authorities allotted a total of 663 units – 114 at the Bangla Academy ground to 80 organisatons and 549 at Suhrawardy Udyan to 329 organisations.Besides, 24 pavilions (15,536 square feet) have been allocated for 24 publishing houses, including Bangla Academy, while last year, 15 pavilions were allocated for 14 publishing houses, including Bangla Academy.There will be strict security arrangements in and around the book fair venue to avert any unpleasant incident during the fair.Publishers from across the country will exhibit huge books on different issues while Bangla Academy will exhibit 141 newly printed and reprinted books.Bangla Academy will organise a two-day International Literature Conference on 22-23 February to build a good bonding among the local and foreign writers, poets, novelists as well as to create a platform to exchange their literary works.At least 15 foreign poets from eight different countries will be present at the conference.A newly launched website and application will provide the information about the fair.Awards will be handed over to the publishing houses on the closing day of the month-long ‘Ekushey Boi Mela’.The ‘Chittaranjan Saha Smriti Puraskar’ for the publication of a good number of quality books in the fair while ‘Munier Chowdhury Smriti Puraskar’ will be given for the aesthetic design.The ‘Rokonuzzaman Khan Dadabhai Smriti Puraskar’ will be awarded for publishing excellent books for kids while Qayyum Chowdhury Smriti Puraskar will be given for the best interior design of the stalls.The fairs will remain open every day from 3pm to 8:30pm, except for holidays. It will remain open on holidays from 11am to 8pm and the fair will run from 8am to 9pm on the International Mother Language Day -21 February.last_img read more


Panasonic releases a solar charger with USB AA battery slots and LED

Posted On Aug 31 2019 by

first_img This document is subject to copyright. Apart from any fair dealing for the purpose of private study or research, no part may be reproduced without the written permission. The content is provided for information purposes only. © 2010 PhysOrg.com (PhysOrg.com) — The idea of a solar charger is not a new one. There are a whole host of them for the mobile device, but a lot of them are too expensive to be purchased by the average consumer. Other charge devices too slowly. Only time will tell which solar charger becomes the pragmatic option. Panasonic has decided to throw its hat into the ring with its new BG-BL01 charger. The BG-BL01 is a combination device, both solar battery charger and emergency LED Light. The solar power come courtesy of a HIT Solar panel, the same type of current generation panels that are found on homes. The BG-BL01 also comes equipped with a USB port, two AA Battery Charger slots and three LED lights.The device itself is surprisingly small, at just 152×104×24mm and it weighs 150g. Panasonic claims that the device will take up to 15h to fully charge two AA Batteries. With a full charge users will get up to 10 hours of the highest brightness light or up to 60 hours worth of light at its lowest brightness. The LED lamps are at a capacity of 0.12W×3. The system will also be able to power a 500mA USB powered device in about 1h and 20 minutes. Panasonic releases wireless solar charging tablecenter_img The BG-BL01 is also IPX3 compliant, which makes it splash proof but not submersion resistance. The device will be on sale by the end of August 2011 and it is expected to retail for $75. It is expected to retail for this price in both Japan and the United States. Citation: Panasonic releases a solar charger with USB, AA battery slots and LED lights (2011, July 5) retrieved 18 August 2019 from https://phys.org/news/2011-07-panasonic-solar-charger-usb-aa.html Explore furtherlast_img read more